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Liberal Democrats

A look forward: 2018 London elections (part 3)

January 3, 2018

Today, we conclude our look forward to the May 2018 local elections in London. You can find the first part of the series here (including details of our methodology) and the second here. Our concluding part covers the ten London Boroughs starting with the letters M through to W. Merton – likely Labour hold We […]

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A look forward: 2018 London elections (part 1)

January 1, 2018

As a New Year begins, I am setting out the scene for this year’s London elections, a critical test for the three main English parties. This is the first of three posts, setting the scene and covering 10 boroughs (B to G, alphabetically). May’s local elections will be a crucial test for the British political […]

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By-Election Special: Tooting

June 15, 2016

Today sees the by-election in Tooting following the resignation of Sadiq Khan as he takes on the Mayoralty of London Much of the talk about today’s Tooting by-election has been about the tightness of the result last year. Without the advantage of Sadiq Khan’s 11 years’ incumbency, is Labour in trouble in this part of south […]

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By-Election Special: Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough

May 2, 2016

Along with the Scottish, Welsh, Northern Irish, London and local elections being held on Thursday, there are two Parliamentary by-elections. Both should be safe Labour seats. In this post, we take a look at the first of these to be called: Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough. This constituency was created for the 2010 general election, based […]

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By-election special: Oldham West and Royton

November 29, 2015

Thursday sees the first Parliamentary by-election of this Parliament and with it the first true electoral test of Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership. With some electoral symmetry, Oldham was the scene of the first by-election of the previous Parliament, which saw Labour hold on to Oldham East and Saddleworth. Below is the May General Election result for […]

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General Election preview: Cardiff North

March 4, 2015

As a belated nod to St David’s Day, we turn to Wales for our latest post in the series looking at constituencies that could change hands in this year’s general election When the Conservatives won Cardiff North from Labour in the last general election, it came as no surprise to most observers. Indeed, the only […]

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General Election preview: Hampstead and Kilburn

February 4, 2015

For the third in our series focusing on constituencies to watch in the General Election, we turn to north London’s Hampstead and Kilburn In 2010’s general election, Hampstead and Kilburn was the closest result in Great Britain (although only the second closest in the United Kingdom).  Labour’s Glenda Jackson held on to the seat by […]

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General Election preview: Lincoln

January 19, 2015

For the second in our series on seats to watch in this year’s general election, we turn to Britain’s oldest constituency: Lincoln. Today, Iain Dale shared his predictions for the General Election in The Independent. Some of the individual outcomes may not pan out, but the overall numbers seem about right to me. In his […]

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General Election preview: Gordon

December 24, 2014

With the General Election only four and a half months away, we are starting a series on constituency contests to watch. But first, as it is Christmas, a story… WEE ECK The King Beyond The Wall had lost. He had thrown all he had into the epic battle, and he had taken his troops far […]

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London’s New Political Landscape

July 9, 2014

Last Thursday’s council by-election in Tower Hamlets’ Blackwall and Cubitt Town ward brought to an end this year’s local elections in London (both this election and the previous week’s in Barnet’s Colindale ward were held back from the main 22 May elections due to the death of a candidate). The London Local Elections Unlike much […]

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Local Election Briefing – Harrow

May 20, 2014

For another of our looks at the forthcoming local elections, we turn to the north London borough of Harrow. At the last general election, the Labour Party in London had some consolation as Brown’s government lost: it more than doubled the London boroughs where it had a majority of the councillors from eight to seventeen […]

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By-Election Result: Wythenshawe and Sale East

February 16, 2014

Thursday’s by-election result in Wythenshawe and Sale East was, as we predicted, a comfortable victory for the Labour Party. You can find our by-election profile here. Labour’s share of the vote increased by 11 percent from the general election, to over 55%. UKIP took second place, impressively climbing from 3.4% in 2010 to 18% on […]

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By-Election Special – Wythenshawe and Sale East

February 5, 2014

When Paul Goggins went out running a few days after Christmas, he set in train the events leading to next week’s by-election. On that fateful run on 30 December, he collapsed and was admitted to hospital for emergency surgery. Nine days later, he died of a brain haemorrhage at Salford Hospital. Labour has been particularly […]

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Liberal Democrats – Are you watching Borgen?

November 20, 2013

I love Borgen. I love Denmark. I love Birgitte Nyborg. Borgen has just started its third and final series with the usual chattering class fanfare and great reviews. Its surprise global success is due to a gripping story of political intrigue within Danish coalition politics. It offers a vivid portrayal of a charismatic woman and […]

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Bedroom Tax vote: What is the point of parliament?

November 14, 2013

The government defeated Labour’s motion to challenge the Tories Bedroom Tax by 252 votes to 226, a majority of 26. Labour MPs have been strongly criticised after the analysis of voting lists revealed that 47 were absent from the Commons at the time of the vote. Labour Party whips have since responsed by stating: “We […]

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Sir Menzies Campbell: Mastering the Art of High Standards in Public Life

October 10, 2013

Yesterday, Sir Menzies (Ming) Campbell announced that he is to step down as a Liberal Democrat MP for North East Fife at the 2015 election – bringing to an end his parliamentary career which began when he was elected in 1987. Ming is what I consider an old Liberal. A moderate social liberal. He is […]

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Liberal Democrats: 25 years and out…

September 21, 2013

By guest blogger – Jock of the North Former Liberal Democrat activist and Parliamentary Candidate. I am not renewing my membership of the Liberal Democrats next month. Some have commented that this must have been a difficult decision. Despite 25 years of involvement, despite the fun had, despite thousands of hours invested and goodness knows […]

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The Lib Dems: Enough is enough

September 12, 2013

“Don’t settle for low politics and broken promises” – Nick Clegg, 2010 Yes, he fucking well did say that. And yes, he fucking well settled for it. As always with Nick Clegg – Do as I say, not as I do. It has been well documented within the panic rooms of the All That’s Left […]

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Gagging Bill: It is time to gag the Lib Dems

September 11, 2013

The Liberal Democrats: I worked for them. I have always voted for them. I now want to gag them. No Liberal Democrat MP has rebelled against the massively illiberal and undemocratic Gagging Bill. Not even the self styled “principled” Sarah Teather. Not even the self styled doyen of liberalism Simon Hughes. None of them. Absolutely […]

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UKIP target #8: Aylesbury

September 2, 2013

“Through Amersham to Aylesbury and the Vale, In those wet fields the railway didn’t pay. The Metro stops at Amersham today.” (J Betjeman, Metro-land) Our eighth constituency in our series spotlighting seats where UKIP outpolled the all Westminster parties in May’s county council elections takes us to Buckinghamshire. The first six constituencies that we reviewed […]

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UKIP target #7: Bognor Regis and Littlehampton

August 26, 2013

In our series on constituencies where UKIP won most votes in May’s county council elections, we have moved from Kent on to West Sussex to find our seventh seat. So far in our series, all the constituencies are Conservative-held seaside seats with a history of strong Labour performances. Labour won four of them (Castle Point, […]

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South Shields by-election results

May 6, 2013

Thursday’s by-election in South Shields to replace David Miliband threw up few great surprises, but the results are worth some comment nonetheless. You can find my original post setting the scene on the by-election here that followed Labour picking Emma Lewell-Buck as their candidate.  As I suggested then, Labour won handily, with UKIP second and the […]

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By-Election Special: South Shields

April 14, 2013

The resignation of David Miliband from Parliament has triggered a by-election on 2 May in his South Shields constituency, the same day as the local elections. Results The graph above shows the 2010 result, with Labour clearly in a dominant position, taking just over half the total vote. Miliband’s majority was over 11,000: the sort […]

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What if Margaret Thatcher had never been born?

April 10, 2013

It is early 1925, and Beatrice and Alfred Roberts did not have a twinkle in their eyes. They decided not to get a room together one evening. The moment had passed. Margaret Thatcher was not conceived. So, if Margaret Thatcher had never been born – what would have happened within British politics? where would we […]

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The Living Wage: Barnet and Lib Dem Councils Worst in London

March 20, 2013

As an enthusiastic backer of the Living Wage, I thought it worthwhile to look at how councils in London are getting on in its implementation.  The map below is a brief summary. London is ahead of the rest of the country in delivering the Living Wage, despite its higher value in the capital – the […]

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By-Election Results: Croydon, Middlesbrough and Rotherham

December 2, 2012

Apologies for the delay, but here is our usual round-up on the by-elections that took place on Thursday.  They can pretty much be summed up as great for UKIP, good for Labour, bad for the Tories and calamitous for the Liberal Democrats. Rotherham The most interesting of the three was Rotherham, which saw UKIP’s share […]

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Mayor Result in Bristol Shows Labour Short of a Breakthrough

November 25, 2012

Labour’s failure to win the mayoralty of Bristol in last week’s elections shows that the party has a long way to go in the capital of the South West. Labour did far better than the Coalition parties: indeed, it received 80% more first preference votes than the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats together. But Labour lost […]

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A Look at the By-Election Results

November 17, 2012

So, the nation has voted. Well, at least a few people did. The Police and Crime Commissioner elections have, probably rightly, been ignored by much of the electorate, and significant numbers who did vote went to spoil their vote to register their protest. Sadly, the tumblr site showing examples of these seems to have been […]

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By-Election Special: Rotherham

November 14, 2012

The resignation of Denis MacShane hs prompted yet another by-election, this time in Rotherham. The result in 2010 was not very close: The cause of the election has pushed the Labour Party to unusual haste – MacShane resigned on 2 November and the by-election will be held less than four weeks later on 29 November, […]

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By-Election Special: Middlesbrough

October 29, 2012

The death of Stuart Bell from cancer on 13 October brought the tally of by-elections to be held in this Parliament to thirteen (ten Labour, two Sinn Fein and one Conservative). As the graph below shows, his Middlesbrough constituency was reasonably safely Labour in 2010. Past results However, 2010 was actually a historic low-point for […]

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