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Conservative Party

A look forward: 2018 London elections (part 3)

January 3, 2018

Today, we conclude our look forward to the May 2018 local elections in London. You can find the first part of the series here (including details of our methodology) and the second here. Our concluding part covers the ten London Boroughs starting with the letters M through to W. Merton – likely Labour hold We […]

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A look forward: 2018 London elections (part 1)

January 1, 2018

As a New Year begins, I am setting out the scene for this year’s London elections, a critical test for the three main English parties. This is the first of three posts, setting the scene and covering 10 boroughs (B to G, alphabetically). May’s local elections will be a crucial test for the British political […]

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Corbyn’s Copeland Catastrophe?

March 1, 2017

There is no doubt that Labour’s performance in the Copeland by-election last week was historically bad: a government last won a by-election seat off an opposition in 1982. But Jeremy Corbyn’s most die-hard supporters have tried to explain this poor result away. Do their arguments hold any weight? You have read the headlines: this is […]

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By-election special: Oldham West and Royton

November 29, 2015

Thursday sees the first Parliamentary by-election of this Parliament and with it the first true electoral test of Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership. With some electoral symmetry, Oldham was the scene of the first by-election of the previous Parliament, which saw Labour hold on to Oldham East and Saddleworth. Below is the May General Election result for […]

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Week 20: Villain – David Cameron

May 17, 2015

This Week’s Villain of the Week Award goes to Prime Minister, David Cameron for setting the grim tone of the next 5 years Back in 2004 when George W Bush was re-elected for a second term over John Kerry in a closely fought and in the end narrow election, he declared that he had ‘political […]

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General Election preview: Cardiff North

March 4, 2015

As a belated nod to St David’s Day, we turn to Wales for our latest post in the series looking at constituencies that could change hands in this year’s general election When the Conservatives won Cardiff North from Labour in the last general election, it came as no surprise to most observers. Indeed, the only […]

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Why are political parties so useless at marketing?

February 11, 2015

Labour have unveiled their latest attempt to woo female voters – A pink bus on a “kitchen table” tour. Seriously. They did this. Good intentions destroyed by patronising stupidity. Labour appear to have opened a 1950’s Mad Men manual on how to get ahead in advertising and sell stuff to women by using outdated gender […]

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General Election preview: Hampstead and Kilburn

February 4, 2015

For the third in our series focusing on constituencies to watch in the General Election, we turn to north London’s Hampstead and Kilburn In 2010’s general election, Hampstead and Kilburn was the closest result in Great Britain (although only the second closest in the United Kingdom).  Labour’s Glenda Jackson held on to the seat by […]

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General Election preview: Lincoln

January 19, 2015

For the second in our series on seats to watch in this year’s general election, we turn to Britain’s oldest constituency: Lincoln. Today, Iain Dale shared his predictions for the General Election in The Independent. Some of the individual outcomes may not pan out, but the overall numbers seem about right to me. In his […]

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Week 1: Prat – The Conservative Party

January 5, 2015

After depressing ourselves by awarding Ed Miliband our Prat of the Year award, it is the Tories that win our first Prat of the Week award of 2015. (Ah, much more satisfying!) So, here we are: 2015 – general election year. Expect the parties to release poster after poster, most of which you will only […]

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Is David Cameron’s Legacy Going To Be A Conservative Party Break Up Over Europe?

September 6, 2014

In my teen years back in the 1980s the Tories under Thatcher seemed completely invincible. They were united, ideological driven and had a vociferous right wing press in lock step with them. It was no surprise that they were the most successful political party in the western world (as we were constantly told). Those years […]

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London’s New Political Landscape

July 9, 2014

Last Thursday’s council by-election in Tower Hamlets’ Blackwall and Cubitt Town ward brought to an end this year’s local elections in London (both this election and the previous week’s in Barnet’s Colindale ward were held back from the main 22 May elections due to the death of a candidate). The London Local Elections Unlike much […]

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Local Election Briefing – Harrow

May 20, 2014

For another of our looks at the forthcoming local elections, we turn to the north London borough of Harrow. At the last general election, the Labour Party in London had some consolation as Brown’s government lost: it more than doubled the London boroughs where it had a majority of the councillors from eight to seventeen […]

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Week 9: Prat – Grant Shapps

March 2, 2014

This Week’s Prat of the Week Award goes to Conservative Party Chairman for the absurd suggestion that the Tories should rebrand as the Workers’ Party Sometimes I think that Grant Shapps is a Fast Show character.  It is hard to believe that someone who is such an out and out spiv, with his alter ego […]

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By-Election Result: Wythenshawe and Sale East

February 16, 2014

Thursday’s by-election result in Wythenshawe and Sale East was, as we predicted, a comfortable victory for the Labour Party. You can find our by-election profile here. Labour’s share of the vote increased by 11 percent from the general election, to over 55%. UKIP took second place, impressively climbing from 3.4% in 2010 to 18% on […]

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By-Election Special – Wythenshawe and Sale East

February 5, 2014

When Paul Goggins went out running a few days after Christmas, he set in train the events leading to next week’s by-election. On that fateful run on 30 December, he collapsed and was admitted to hospital for emergency surgery. Nine days later, he died of a brain haemorrhage at Salford Hospital. Labour has been particularly […]

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The Bewildering Bewilderment of Benedict Brogan

November 20, 2013

On Monday the Deputy Editor of the Daily Telegraph, Benedict Brogan, published a comment piece entitled The Baffling Recovery of Teflon Labour and Unpopular Ed in which he expressed bewilderment that Labour has regained a 6-10 point lead in the polls, after its lead all but disappeared over the summer.  The column has sparked a bit […]

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Week 46: Prat: Conservative Party Central Office

November 17, 2013

This week’s prat of the week award goes to the Conservative Party Central Office for deleting all their speeches and press releases on their website within a 10 year period leading up to the 2010 General Election. So much for David Cameron’s promise of a new, clean, transparent politics. This old promise is amongst the […]

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Hating the Tory Party

October 3, 2013

The word “hate” is nasty old word. This week it has become a politically toxic buzzword. As the fall out continues over the Daily Mail’s predictably odious articles about Ralph Miliband – “the man who hated Britain” – it provoked me into thinking about what I hate in life. There are a few day-to-day petty […]

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Beyond the Lib Dems…Who do I vote for?

September 13, 2013

Over the past week I have written at length about the Lib Dems. Firstly, I discussed their unilateral parliamentary support for the Gagging Bill – which was the straw that finally broke the camel’s back in terms of my loyalty towards a party that I have always supported and previously worked for. Secondly, I discussed […]

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UKIP target #8: Aylesbury

September 2, 2013

“Through Amersham to Aylesbury and the Vale, In those wet fields the railway didn’t pay. The Metro stops at Amersham today.” (J Betjeman, Metro-land) Our eighth constituency in our series spotlighting seats where UKIP outpolled the all Westminster parties in May’s county council elections takes us to Buckinghamshire. The first six constituencies that we reviewed […]

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UKIP target #7: Bognor Regis and Littlehampton

August 26, 2013

In our series on constituencies where UKIP won most votes in May’s county council elections, we have moved from Kent on to West Sussex to find our seventh seat. So far in our series, all the constituencies are Conservative-held seaside seats with a history of strong Labour performances. Labour won four of them (Castle Point, […]

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UKIP targets #5 & #6: The Thanets

August 18, 2013

We have reached the halfway point in our examination of constituencies that UKIP notionally won in the May 2013 county council results UKIP were seen as doing well in May’s county council elections along the east coast. As we have seen, they notionally won three constituencies in Lincolnshire and the East of England. But they […]

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Week 29: Prat – George Osborne

July 21, 2013

Our weekly award for the biggest idiot of the last seen days goes to Chancellor of the Exchequer, the Rt Hon Gideon George Osborne What the frack? All the Conservatives and George Osborne have been going on about for the last four years is the size of the deficit and how the first and foremost […]

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What Happens If The Tories Win in 2015

June 21, 2013

Last night we got an interesting insight into what kind of thing we can expect if the Tories win in 2015, as a group of Tory MPs laid before parliament an ‘alternative’ conservative Queen’s speech.  It would be easy to dismiss this as what passes for thinking among the swivel eyed loons, but that would be […]

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Week 22: Prat – Patrick Mercer

June 3, 2013

This week, Patrick Mercer receives our Prat of the Week award to sit on his mantelpiece next to his Villain of the Week award. As my colleague Charlie East-West has already posted, the revelations about Patrick Mercer’s cash for questions puts him in the top drawer of Parliamentary villainy. But you do also have to […]

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South Shields by-election results

May 6, 2013

Thursday’s by-election in South Shields to replace David Miliband threw up few great surprises, but the results are worth some comment nonetheless. You can find my original post setting the scene on the by-election here that followed Labour picking Emma Lewell-Buck as their candidate.  As I suggested then, Labour won handily, with UKIP second and the […]

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Thoughts On The Death of Margaret Thatcher: #3

April 8, 2013

An 87 year old lady died today. There is nothing unusual about that. It happens every day. Today was different. Margaret Thatcher died. If I am really honest with myself, I thought that I might end up dancing on her grave. But, that would lack any class. Instead I have fought desperately within myself to […]

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The Tories – Sheriff of Nottingham Politics

April 2, 2013

Legend has it that Robin Hood’s nemesis – The Sheriff of Nottingham, was a very bad man. His job description included administering the shires, seizing properties and collecting a bundle of unfair taxes largely from the unsuspecting poor – to fluff up the lifestyle of himself, alickadoos, patrons, landowners and royalty. Essentially he took from […]

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The Living Wage: Barnet and Lib Dem Councils Worst in London

March 20, 2013

As an enthusiastic backer of the Living Wage, I thought it worthwhile to look at how councils in London are getting on in its implementation.  The map below is a brief summary. London is ahead of the rest of the country in delivering the Living Wage, despite its higher value in the capital – the […]

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