Posts tagged as:

Boundary changes

Boundary Changes: The End of the Tory-Mander

January 30, 2013

There was a lot of huffing and puffing from the Tory benches last night as the boundary changes finally went down to defeat by 334 votes to 292.  The only regret I have in respect of this is all of the enormously hard work put in by Jackie South of this blog in analysing the […]

Read the full article →

Labour shafted a little less by new London Boundary Proposals

October 27, 2012

Last week, the Boundary Commission published its revised recommendations for the changes to English constituencies following the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituency Act 2011.  These recommendations follow on from the initial recommendations published last September and respond to comments raised in the consultation process. This is a less academic exercise than we might have thought […]

Read the full article →

West Midlands Boundary Changes Part 5: Warwickshire (including Coventry and Solihull)

August 29, 2012

For the fifth and final instalment in our series on the proposed constituency boundary changes in the West Midlands we turn to Warwickshire, including the metropolitan boroughs of Coventry and Solihull.  Those two boroughs are in the West Midlands metropolitan county, which has been considered together with Warwickshire proper in the Boundary Commission’s review, and […]

Read the full article →

West Midlands Boundary Changes Part 4: Birmingham

August 28, 2012

For the fourth post in our series looking at the proposed constituency boundary changes in the West Midlands, we turn to Birmingham. Birmingham currently has ten constituencies, nine of which include the city’s name and a tenth named for Sutton Coldfield.  The current representation and winning margins are indicated in the map below. As we […]

Read the full article →

West Midlands Boundary Changes Part 3: The Black Country

August 27, 2012

This is the third in our series looking at the impact of the Boundary Commission’s proposals for parliamentary constituencies. The Commission has grouped all of the West Midlands metropolitan county and Warwickshire together in its review, a total of 34 constituencies currently. This is too much to cover in a single post, so we are […]

Read the full article →

West Midlands Boundary Changes Part 2: Staffordshire

August 22, 2012

For the second in our series looking at the impact of the proposed constituency boundary changes in the West Midlands, we turn to Staffordshire.  The current constituencies, including an indication of the majority for the winning party in 2010, are shown below. Staffordshire currently has twelve constituencies, with an average electorate of 70,094: below the […]

Read the full article →

West Midlands Boundary Changes Part 1: West Mercia

August 20, 2012

As previously trailed, we are continuing to look at the impact of the proposed boundary changes by turning our attention to the West Midlands. The Boundary Commission reviewed the three counties that make up the West Mercia police region – Herefordshire, Shropshire and Worcestershire – together. Herefordshire currently has two constituencies, Shropshire five and Worcestershire […]

Read the full article →

South East Boundary Changes Part 9: Oxfordshire

July 20, 2012

The final county for our series on the Boundary Commission’s proposals for parliamentary constituencies in South East England is Oxfordshire.  The map below summarises the current constituencies and the margin by which the winning party won them in 2010. The county’s seats consist of a rural ring of four safely Conservative constituencies around two marginal […]

Read the full article →

South East Boundary Changes Part 8: Buckinghamshire

July 13, 2012

For the eighth instalment in our series on the proposed constituency boundary changes in South East England, we turn to Buckinghamshire. The map below shows the current seven constituencies, including Milton Keynes (for the purposes of this analysis, we are treating the Buckingham seat as Conservative although it is held by the nominally non-partisan Speaker […]

Read the full article →

South East Boundary Changes Part 7: Berkshire

July 9, 2012

The seventh instalment of our series on the Boundary Commission’s proposed constituency boundaries in South East England brings us to the Royal County of Berkshire.  Up until 2005, half the county’s eight MPs were non-Conservative, but now only Slough holds out.  The map below shows the current state of play. Unlike Hampshire, East Sussex and […]

Read the full article →

South East Boundary Changes Part 6: Surrey

July 4, 2012

After a bit of a delay, the sixth part on our series on the Boundary Commission proposals for parliamentary constituencies in South East England takes us to what is probably the most Conservative county in the nation: Surrey.  Since 1950, only one seat in the county has had a non-Conservative MP, and that was only […]

Read the full article →

South East Boundary Changes Part 5: Kent

June 15, 2012

For the fifth in our series looking at the proposed boundary changes for constituencies in South East England, we are paying a visit to the Garden of England. Kent only had Conservative MPs between 1979 and 1997 and in the run-up to the 1997 general election Labour was only predicted to take two seats, and […]

Read the full article →

South East Boundary Changes Part 4: East Sussex

June 9, 2012

In contrast to West Sussex, East Sussex (including the unitary city of Brighton and Hove) is a varied county politically.  Prior to the 2010 General Election, half of its eight constituencies were held by Labour, three by the Conservatives and one by the Liberal Democrats.  In that election, Labour lost all four, the Liberal Democrats […]

Read the full article →

South East Boundary Changes Part 2: Hampshire

June 7, 2012

Following on from Tuesday’s post on the boundary changes proposed for the Isle of Wight, we move on to the mainland and Hampshire. Hampshire, including the unitary authorities of Portsmouth and Southampton, currently has 18 MPs but stands to lose one of these from the Boundary Commission’s proposals as a consequence of the rule set by […]

Read the full article →

South East Boundary Changes Part 1: The Isle of Wight

June 5, 2012

It has been a while since I last posted on the proposed constituency changes.  (You can find London, Northern Ireland, North West England, North East England, South West England, East Midlands and Wales by following the links). This is the first post on a series on the changes affecting South East England, which provides David […]

Read the full article →

Welsh Boundary Changes Part 3: South East Wales

April 13, 2012

For our final post on the proposed Parliamentary constituency boundaries in Wales, we turn to South East Wales, stretching from the Rhondda and Vale of Glamorgan in the west to the River Wye in the east, taking in the preserved counties of Gwent, South Glamorgan and most of Mid Glamorgan (with the exception of Bridgend […]

Read the full article →

Welsh Boundary Changes Part 2: South West Wales

April 10, 2012

For the second of our posts on the boundary proposals for Wales, we are taking a look at the south-western third of the principality, covering the preserved counties of Dyfed and West Glamorgan together with Bridgend County Borough (which was in Mid-Glamorgan).  This might seem a slightly arbitrary split, but given the number of proposals […]

Read the full article →

Welsh Boundary Changes Part 1: North and Central Wales

April 9, 2012

With all the excitement of the US primaries, it has been a while since we have posted on the impact of the Boundary Commission’s proposals for the reduced number of constituencies that will be fought over at the next General Election.  So to continue the series we are returning to Wales: we speculated about North […]

Read the full article →

East Midlands Boundary Changes Part 5: Derbyshire

February 16, 2012

For the final part in this series looking at the proposed parliamentary boundary changes in the East Midlands (see these links for the posts on Northamptonshire, Leicestershire, Nottinghamshire and Lincolnshire) we turn to without doubt the most attractive of the region’s counties: Derbyshire.  Unlike say Lincolnshire, it is a county that is very much influenced […]

Read the full article →

East Midlands Boundary Changes Part 4: Lincolnshire

February 10, 2012

We’ve previously blogged on the proposed constituency boundary changes in Northamptonshire, Leicestershire and Nottinghamshire.  For the fourth in the series on the East Midlands proposals, we turn to the region’s largest county in area, Lincolnshire.  Below is a map showing the state of play after the last General Election. The current pattern of constituencies dates […]

Read the full article →

East Midlands Boundary changes Part 3: Nottinghamshire

February 6, 2012

I’ve already posted on the Boundary Commission’s proposals for the constituency boundaries in Northamptonshire and Leicestershire. In the latter case, a new constituency will cross the boundary into Nottinghamshire. Before explaining the impact of that, let’s have a look at the current state of play. That constituency crossing the county boundary is Coalville and Keyworth, […]

Read the full article →

East Midlands Boundary Changes Part 2: Leicestershire (oh, and Rutland)

February 3, 2012

For part two of our series of posts on the Boundary Commission’s proposals for Parliamentary constituencies in the East Midlands, we turn to Leicestershire and Rutland.  The current state of play is shown in the map below. As described in the post on Northamptonshire, Leicestershire cedes 21,266 electors to the Daventry constituency in the proposals. […]

Read the full article →

East Midlands Boundary Changes Part 1: Northamptonshire

January 31, 2012

We return to our series on the impact of the proposed Parliamentary boundary changes to take a look at the East Midlands.  We’ve previously covered London, Northern Ireland and North West, North East and South West England. The East Midlands isn’t always the most glamorous of regions, much of it lacks the beauty of the […]

Read the full article →

West Country Boundary Changes Part 4: Gloucestershire

December 31, 2011

I’ve been looking at the proposed Parliamentary boundary changes in South West England this week.  Having covered Cornwall and Devon, Somerset and the Greater Bristol area, and Dorset and Wiltshire, it leaves only Gloucestershire to cover.  The map below shows the current state of play. The changes proposed by the Boundary Commission for the county are relatively minor, […]

Read the full article →

West Country Boundary Changes Part 3: Dorset and Wiltshire

December 30, 2011

For the third in our series looking at the Boundary Commission’s proposals for Parliamentary constituencies in South West England, I’m turning to Dorset and Wiltshire.  The commission has linked these two counties in its review, and reduced the number of seats there from fifteen to fourteen by creating a constituency crossing the border between the two.  The […]

Read the full article →

West Country Boundary Changes part 2: Greater Bristol and Somerset

December 30, 2011

For the second part of my look at the proposed boundary changes in the South West, I’m taking a look at Somerset and the former county of Avon.  These currently have 16 constituencies between them and would keep that number under the proposals.  The current state of play is shown on the map below. Although […]

Read the full article →

West Country Boundary Changes part 1: Cornwall and Devon

December 27, 2011

Back in May, I speculated that the boundary change proposals might help the Lib Dems in Cornwall and Devon.  As part of my series reviewing the published proposals, I am revisiting those counties as the first part of my look at South West England. As a reminder, the current state of play looks* like this: […]

Read the full article →

Boundary Commission Creates Ten Marginals in Labour’s North East Heartland

December 12, 2011

Regular readers will be familiar with my series of posts looking at the impact of the Boundary Commission’s proposals for UK constituencies for the next election, based on the Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Act 2011.  I have previously covered London, Northern Ireland and the North West, and it is now the North East’s turn. […]

Read the full article →

North West boundary proposals round-up

November 24, 2011

To round off my series of posts on the impact of the Boundary Commission’s proposals for North West England, this is a summary piece that links all the others.  You can find the posts on individual counties here: Cheshire and Wirral Cumbria (updated projections here) Greater Manchester Lancashire Merseyside(excluding Wirral) Before we look at the changes, […]

Read the full article →

Cumbria Boundaries revisited…

November 22, 2011

Ah-humm.  An apology! Earlier this month, I posted apiece on the Boundary Commission’s proposals for Cumbria, setting out these in some detail and then trying to calculate what the 2010 election results would have been on these boundaries.  A Brown commented that the figures for Kendal and Penrith looked a little odd, so I’ve re-run the […]

Read the full article →